[ QUOTE ]
Should I be going all-in here? Am I overthinking a simple play? I've pretty much played it like I have a flush and he doesn't seem to be scared. Can he have a higher flush? Would he call an all-in without a flush?
Is there any sense in calling? I can't make an argument for it. Just need some confirmation. Thanks.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t20 (9 handed)
converter
saw flop|
<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>
Button (t1500)
SB (t1500)
<font color="#C00000">BB (t1500)</font>
UTG (t1500)
<font color="#C00000">Hero (t1500)</font>
MP1 (t1500)
MP2 (t1500)
MP3 (t1500)
CO (t1500)
Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">
1 fold</font>, Hero calls t20, <font color="#666666">
1 fold</font>, MP2 calls t20, <font color="#666666">
1 fold</font>, CO calls t20, <font color="#666666">
2 folds</font>, BB checks.
Flop: (t90) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets t60</font>, Hero calls t60, MP2 folds, CO folds.
Turn: (t210) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets t100</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t350</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to t780</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises ?
[/ QUOTE ]
The hands that beat you here are not often enough to warrant a fold IMO. I would just get my chips in w/o thinking too hard.
Not your question but I would not limp this hand from such EP too often...I find it is just bleeding chips and your Implied odds are completely unknown here, IOW, difficult to guage...neermind the fact that you could be looking at a moderate raise which you would feel compelled to call while being OOP. I would fold this pf.
Given the the villai is the BB, I only set i could see here would be 44 which he was trying to bet on the flop and to rpotect against the flush. Many players will over bet their string hands when the scare card comes (IOW "If I am behind I lose a lot, and If I am ahead I win a little...")
But maybe 2 prs etc...as well would play like this at the 27s...The problem is that so many times at the 27s you are ahead here that it makes it hard to get away from. I'd say 40% or less of the time he has a higher flush...Total anecdotal guess...sorry I cant do better than that.