Re: losing streaks and such
Your assumption about your winrate being between 1.75 and 2.75 may be incorrect. If your true winrate was 1.75, there would be only a 7% chance of breaking even over 27k hands, not to mention being down by 200 BB. If your true winrate was 2.75, there would be only be about a 1% chance of this happening.
However, for the sake of argument, lets say that you are indeed a 2BB/100 player. In this case, your average road to recovery is calculated merely by assuming you always make your 2BB/100. In this case, to get back from 231 BB, it will take you 11,550 hands to get back to even (on average). I'm not sure about the frequency of downswings, maybe someone else can give an approximation for these.
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