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Old 10-12-2005, 05:41 PM
Jim T Jim T is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 186
Default Re: 25 PLO hand vs. a Lag

With $8 in the pot, you bet 5 (leaving you 18 out of about 23) which makes a $13 pot. Villain's bet would make the pot $36 for your last $18 - you're getting 2:1.

You have FIFTEEN pretty clean outs - the 6 boat outs plus 9 club outs (2,3,6,7,8,9,10,J,K). This gives you 15 wins out of 44 cards unless he has AA or QQ, which I'd think was pretty unlikely. The problem is that he likely holds at least a couple of the cards you need.

Against a LAG, I'd make the call, because of the chances he's bluffing. Against an unknown or conservative player, I'd probably fold it as a (very) marginally -EV call.

PS I don't necessarily think he has a set, he could just as easily have a straight.
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