Bruce -


I think you missed one vital step...


I asked for two pair _or better_, which includes trips. There are 6 cards that can make a pair with any two non-paired cards. After that, there are 5 more cards (two of the pair, and three of the other card) that make two pair or better (3 for two pair, 2 for trips).


I also thought I had accounted for the possibility of a boat or quads. If the first two cards of a flop improve the hand, it will fill the criteria regardless of the last card, which is why I left that term out of the equation.


Then again, my probability skills aren't what they should be, so I may be missing something really simple.


Big John