[happyjaypee]

You made a little mistake Odder. You only calculated the odds of making the open-ender whit 1 card to come.

In Hold'em, whit 2 cards to come, the formula should look like this:

(8/47)+(8/46)*(1-8/47)
= 0.1702 + 0.1739 * 0.8298
= 0.1702 + 0.1443
= 0.3145

So you got 31.45% chance, or 2.17 to 1, of making the straight whit TWO CARDS TO COME.

Round the odds of making it to 2:1

So whit 12$ in the pot and a 4$ bet you need to call 4$ to win 16$. You are getting 16:4 or 4:1 on the call whit 2:1 of making your hand. Of course the opponent may bet again on the turn and ruin your odds. That's why it is advice to only play draws in position in NL, A chk out of position on the turn screems a draw an many opponent will charge you again in this spot, destroying your odds.

When in position, say you got your straight draw whit two overcard like Q [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] on a 2 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]9 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]T [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], you might want to raise and take a free card on the turn. Any Q or J may win you the pot. Also note the backdoor flush potential witch can be very valuable because your opponent will not fear two running hearts hitting.


-Happy [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]