[Oblivious]

I had intended to include cases where one flops quads or a full house. My calculation should have given the frequency that at least one '3' comes on the flop. In the probability section of HEFAP, it lists the probability of floping a set or better as ~11.8% just like you stated... where I have 12% exactly. So Im pretty sure youre right, but Im failing to see my error.

I guess what youre saying is im counting flops like:
3 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
and
3 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
as different, but I dont think I am.

In my calculation:
C(2,1)C(49,2)/C(50,3)

C(2,1) = 2 different ways to draw a 3 in one spot. And C(49,2) = 49*48/2*1 different ways to draw any two remaining cards.

Could you name two flops that arent different that I counted as discrete? Thanks for any help. [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]