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Old 05-13-2005, 05:46 PM
Maulik Maulik is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: 30 + rake
Posts: 892
Default Re: when are you in the long run?

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Well it seems u did take a long time to write all this. You shoulda been able to figure out an "average" player will lose $1 for every tourney he plays becasue that is the vig. So if you makin $3 for every tourney, that is a difference of $4 from the average player to you. At the 2-table SNG's i feel you need a larger sample size than the regular 1-table SNG's. Generally 1,000 1-table SNG's, will tell you a very rough estimate of your true ROI. So, you need 2500 to get an decent estimate as to what your true ROI is at the $10+1 level. Ex. I have had stretches of 250 SNG's played where i have broken even. There have been other winning players who have had streak of 1000 SNG's where they break even. So, sorry to tell ya, but 333 SNG's is not a very significant sample size to get your tru ROI. But it seems you are on the right track, and 300 SNG's is enough to tell you that you ARE a winning player-- i think.

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I'm playing 1000 in 11 days and I can tell you from my experience and from statistics 500 may give you an idea if you are a winning player. But its really just not enough data.

Consider flipping a quarter 55/45 overcards v. pocket pair and the 55/45 distribution you should expect. Well if you do it 500 times you may find the distribution to be skewd one way or another, the more times you do it the close it will come to the expected values of 55/45.

Keep playing.
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