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Old 11-19-2004, 07:50 PM
IsaacW IsaacW is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Finding patterns in the static.
Posts: 603
Default Re: odds to flop a set

I'm sure this has been covered before, but here goes. The probability that you flop a set are equal to (1 - (probability that you don't flop a set)). I assume you are holding a pocket pair and looking for one card on the flop.

The probability that you don't flop a set are (48*47*46)/(50*49*48), so the probability you do flop a set are 1 - (48*47*46)/(50*49*48), or 11.76%. Converted to odds this is 7.51:1. There is a small chance out of that 11.76% that you will flop quads, as I have technically calculated the odds that you will flop at least one of the two remaining cards. Please consider that a bonus [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
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