Re: Should I be getting this frisky with on the bubble?
How likely is the BB to make a spite call on you?
a couple of SNGPT examples:
If you put sb on the call range of TT+, AQs+, AKo and the bb on the call range of 22+, A2s+, A3o+, KTs+, KJo+, QJs+ this is a -.1% (loss of $.67) push according to ICM.
If you put the sb on the same call range and the bb calls range at any two cards, you're at a -4.9% push, with a loss of $24.57 on the hand. (that's relative to an equity of folding the hand and having a $151.07 equity in the tournament.) That's one of the larger percentagewise losses you're going to find on an average day.
If you put the sb on AA and KK and the bb on any two cards, you're running at a loss of -4.9% push. The same.
So basically what it comes down to is how likely you are to get called by the big stack. Anything as loose or looser than the range in the first paragraph up there, and well, poo.
citanul
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