Re: Bubble Situation
Will write this out in text as many people, myself included, have a hard time following unfamiliar equations.
There are 3 possible outcomes (I ignore ties in this case as the blinds are quite small relative to stack sizes):
1) Hero folds
2) Hero calls and loses.
3) Hero calls and wins.
Plug the resulting final chipcounts into a ICM calculator.
To find the breakeven we have to have ICM1 = weighted average of ICM2 & ICM3. The weight is the Hero's win % for ICM3 and Hero's loss % for ICM2 (also, 1-win%). So we can solve for the win% needed to make ICM1 = weighted average of ICM2 & ICM3.
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