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Old 05-28-2003, 06:31 PM
Jimbo Jimbo is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Planet Earth but relocating
Posts: 2,193
Default Re: another example - sorry to bring it up again.

You just have to love your persistence. Suppose I agree that 7's are more likely to be folded than Aces. Now what? You are implying that aces are more likely to be dealt than 7's which I cannot agree with. In fact in your 3 person example where you have an ace in your hand and your opponnent has 7's it makes it less likely that an ace is dealt not more. I agree noone is likely to fold AA but this means nothing. Below is why:

<pre><font class="small">code:</font><hr>

Hands containing an ace that will probably fold:

A2o A3o A4o A5o A6o A7o A8o A9o A6s A7s A8s A9s

Hands containing an ace that will probably call:

A2s A3s A4s A5s AJo AQo AKs ATs AJs AQs AKs AA




The one hand that may go either way:

ATo

</pre><hr>

Now count the possible numbers of Ax hands that will be folded and the number of Ax hands that will call. Do you see a trend here? If so you should now know one reason why your theory is unsound other than being a mathmatical fallacy in and of itself.

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