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Old 04-25-2005, 02:40 PM
Scuba Chuck Scuba Chuck is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: 1-table tournaments
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Default Re: Level 4, what hands do you push in this position?

OK, let's restart this commentary. What are the facts to consider here?

1) There is a superbig stack who is mini-raising. How often is he doing this? Mathematically at least, this is a very profitable situation for him. Raising 200 to steal 150. Furthermore, against 4 of the other stacks, if he is reraised, the pot odds favor a call.

2) Hero is the 2nd biggest stack (not by much over the remaining field). Hero's stack also represents less than 1/3 of bigstacks total chips. A reraise (especially if done more than once) risks being called.

3) Big stack is doing hero a favor. He is exerting constant pressure on all the other small stacks. At the same time, he will become a force to reckon with (assuming he maintains his position) later on. Therefore, hero must also accumulate chips during the middle phase.

OK, IMO, big stack likely will fold 85-90% of the time to a reraise from hero, if he has been mini-raising frequently. So you can apply those probabilities to your hand selection. That's why AJ seems okay, and sometimes any two cards. If you reraise a second time, you better have the goods. AK, JJ+.

If this is bigstacks first foray into the blind steal opportunities, I'd let him have the chips, and only reraise with my standard reraise hands.
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