Re: how much do you bet?
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Mosdef your a slavedriver (lol). I'm in the break of a poker touney but I'll do the math as soon as possible but given that the flush could be hit on the turn and he has a 19% chance of hitting on the turn. What is the minimum you would bet on the flop to make the opponent incorrect to see the turn.
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just do your original calc with 19% instead of 35%.
and you actually shouldn't bet just so that it's right at 19%, where he's basically even money to call.
also, it's easier to state things in terms of the pot BEFORE your bet, not after. I think you'll find that any bet larger than 23.4% of the pot is enough that he'll be wrong to call (assuming that you can make another bet on the turn and that he has zero implied odds, i.e. you're not putting in another chip if a flush card comes).
the final answer is: you should bet the maximum amount that the opponent will call, subject to the constraint that your bet is at least 23.4% of the pot.
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