well you have to hit one pair to hit two pair, so it does take that into account.


the chance to flop a str is well less than 1%, so it doesn't have a large effect on whether the % of time you are missing seems to low or not.

your % doesn't seem that low unless you've played hundreds of millions of hands.


if you told me the # of flops you've seen i can even calculate the likelihood of hitting that many or less flops.

(you just need to use the binomdist function in excel)