Correction and some thoughts
I just wanted to add that the EV calculations didn't put enough stress on "chop" possibilities, and that's why I disagreed with the "chop probability" and tended to underestimate the chances of a chop. So, It *is* true that with opponent's K2-K9, in the majority of time (i.e., >50%) we tie, but if we don't he has a better and better chance to take it down. With K9, for example, it's a tie 53% of the time, but for KQ we tie only 20% of the time, and he wins the big majority of the rest.
I think that there's one interesting point here. CEV of 1:1, can have very different meaning, if it's a "chop" 1:1 EV, or win/lose 1:1 EV.
In this situation, as in many other tournament situations, I will take, of course, the 1:1 chop EV, but will fold, if it is 1:1 win/lose EV.
The reasons are pretty clear, I think.
PrayingMantis
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