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Old 03-05-2004, 12:35 PM
PrayingMantis PrayingMantis is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 11,600 km from Vegas
Posts: 489
Default Re: K problem on the bubble

[ QUOTE ]
I would not put SB on a K .

[/ QUOTE ]

It's not that I specifically put him on a K, but as he called the bet on the flop, I though that K is not unreasonable, with his overall very passive play.

Moreover, I think this guy could limp from SB with any K, raising (maybe) only with AK, sometimes KQ. It's not that I tend to suspect monsters under the bed or something, I only think it's a question of how much risk you are willing to take on the bubble, and with one very short stack at the table.

[ QUOTE ]
If someone does have a K, the most likely result is chop.


[/ QUOTE ]

I disagree. If SB limped with K2 - KQ, these are the chances of a chop:

K2-K6 about 1:1, getting closer to 55:45 as his kicker is getting bigger.

K7-K8 - he's getting to about 3:2 over me.

K9-KT - He's around 2:1 against me.

KJ - He's 3:1.

KQ - He's 4:1.

So, generally speaking, if this passive player *does* have a K, (with equal spread of kickers) I'm a dog, if not a big dog. I don't think considering this as a "chop" situation in the worst case, is the right way to look at it.

But regarding the move itself, I agree. I pushed and didn't regret it.


PrayingMantis
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