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Old 09-08-2003, 09:36 PM
BruceZ BruceZ is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 1,636
Default Re: 3 Flopped Sets...

Here's the exact solution.

It's much easier if you first consider the odds of getting any 3 different cards on the flop, that's
52*48*44/(52*51*50). Then multiply this by the probability that the 3 pairs are out that match the 3 cards on the flop. Note that no more than 1 player can hold each of the pairs and there are 3 ways to hold each one. The probability of 3 specific players holding these pairs is 9/C(49,2) * 6/C(47,2) * 3/C(45,2). Finally, there are C(10,3) ways to choose the 3 players. Putting it all together we have:

52*48*44/(52*51*50)*9/C(49,2)*6/C(47,2)*3/C(45,2)*C(10,3) = 0.0013% or 1 in 78,166.
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