Re: Variance at Party Sngs
I don't see how this makes sense. If you finish in the money 50% of the time, will you not experience the same kinds of losing streaks at either site, eventually?
The two examples you gave actually kind of show this. As sample sizes get bigger, you are bound to see the same slumps and streaks.
In fact this would be predictable, wouldn't it?
After 4 tourneys, a probable slump or streak of 2
after 8, slump/streak of 3
after 16, slump/streak of 4
after 32, slump streak of 5
and so on.
If you were really seeing such uniformity as you described for stars over a long period of time, I'd start thinking something funny was going on, like psychologically affecting your rate of a money finish after each cash/bust.
Of course, I have little idea what I'm talking about so I'd love some math-nerd feedback to this post.
Regards,
Brad S
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