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Old 02-13-2004, 12:26 PM
CrisBrown CrisBrown is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Florida
Posts: 1,493
Default Re: (near) winner take all sngs\'

Hi Iceman,

[ QUOTE ]
It would often be correct to pass a 55-60% all-in chance, or even much better chances in extreme cases. Stacks 4000-3700-300(you). The first two move all-in. You should definitely fold AA here. When many of your opponents are too loose, you can often make the money by playing very tight and waiting for others to bust out.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think you have to call here.

If you win -- and you're a favorite with AA -- you have T900, and will be either heads-up (if the 4000 stack wins the side pot), or with a 3:1 edge over 3rd place (if the 3700 stack doubles through, leaving the former chip leader with only 300).

If you lose, you're out.

If you fold, you're at best a 7700-300 underdog heads-up, or at worst tied for a desperately short-stacked third, with no guarantee that you haven't just thrown away your best chance to get at least a few chips to threaten with.

Cris
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