[Dave H.]

gm,

To carry this a bit further, does this mean that to determine the probability of making a set by the turn (assuming a pocket pair), one would simply compute

1 - (probability of NOT making the set on the flop AND NOT making the set on the turn)= 1 - ((C(48,3)/C(50,3)) * 45/47) = 1 - (.8825 * .9574) = 1 - .8450 = .1550

and then to compute the probability of making a set by the river, one would simply compute

1 - (probability of NOT making the set on the flop AND NOT making the set on the turn AND NOT making the set on the river)= 1 - ((C(48,3)/C(50,3)) * 45/47 * 44/46) = 1 - (.8825 * .9574 * .9565) = 1 - .8082 = .1918