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Old 12-08-2005, 10:21 AM
kevkev60614 kevkev60614 is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 115
Default Re: $33 - Bubble squeeze play.

Everyone was awfully quick to say fold here. I'm not so sure it's that easy. If OP thinks he has some fold equity here, it might be a push.

I ran some numbers through ICM to illustrate a point. Suppose when OP folds, UTG will win 50% of the time. Further assume when OP calls, each of the three wins 1/3 of the time. If this was the case, according to ICM OP holds 25% of the prize pool when he folds and 28% when he pushes.

I know that ICM isn't as useful here because the blinds are high, and I don't expect that K9o will win 1/3 of the time here. But I think it illustrates that pushing as the bigstack here isn't terrible. And if OP is right about villain and we do have some FE, this may be a push.
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