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Take a hypothetical situation....
Player Able has an established win rate, WR.
Able's WR is expressed as BB/HR or BB/100, whichever
is relevant.
Able's standard deviation (SD) is also expressed in
terms of BB, rather than $$.
Given that, I'd like to be able to predict the probability
of a ceratin result (or greater) over a specific span
of play.
In other words, I'd like a generic function to calculate
the probability of winning (or losing) X BB's over a
specific span Y (HR's or 100's) play, given win (loss)
rate parameters WR and SD.
Help!
Thanks in advance, mosquito.
[/ QUOTE ]
See my
recent post.