eLROY..I am sure you will not be offended but I think if you devoted more time to looking for

opportunities in the options markets,particularly options on futures your energies would be better directed.I have known a number of traders like

you and typically they didn't last long.Every angle and piece of information had to be scrutinized from 50 different viewpoints.Don't you ever just "feel" something is a good trade.

My guess is that you have had this feeling many times and failed to act on it.For example I was watching Soybeans for a while and wanted to

go long if the market got below 420 basis March.

I found a way to talk myself out of doing it.

I hate it when I do that...don't you?Sometimes you just have to let go...forget the all the research and math nonense.For instance Bonds have been up sharply a few days in a row now and the Feb options expire in two weeks.Are there some opportunities here? I think so.Don't be afraid to be wrong..it is going to happen.