Re: I need some clarification
To get the 35% figure:
chance of missing flush on the turn: 38/47
chance of missing flush on the river, given that you missed on the turn: 37/46
(38 * 37) / (47 * 46) = ~0.65
This is the chance that you missed your flush. (Does that make sense?)
Now.. since you want the chance that you MAKE your flush, subtract from 1. 1 - 0.65 = 0.35, or 35%.
-DB
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