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Old 11-30-2004, 01:13 PM
gaming_mouse gaming_mouse is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: my hero is sfer
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Default Re: Probability question - Average PF raise is 8%. Risk limp-reraising?

If the individual player PFR percentages are not known, you cannot calculate an exact answer from the info given (ie, the average PFR%).

However, we can approximate by assuming that each player, individually, has an 8% chance of raising you. We also have to assume that each player makes his action independent of the action of the other players, which is a false assumption. So the following offers a rough estimate at best of the real-world probability:

1 - (.92)^9 = .5279, about 50%

HTH,
gm
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