Thread: Bad Flop peel?
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Old 11-22-2005, 08:13 PM
luckyharr luckyharr is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 11
Default Re: Bad Flop peel?

This flop peel is fine especially since you think he's been three-betting light. The problem is that when your Ace outs are clean, it means your 4 outs aren't, and vice-versa. Discount them 50% and you are left with about 4.5 effective with your runner, runner draw. Also, villain has KQ some of the time here and might shut down on the turn.

I'm not sure about the turn raise. Since you played it like a free showdown raise, I think it's incorrect because the villain here isn't going to fold a better hand on the turn. It may be a better play to get the extra bet from the villain when he fires again on the river with overs, or after you complete your flush and can value bet.

If you had just called the turn, would you have called a river bet?
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