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Old 10-23-2004, 02:45 AM
dogmeat dogmeat is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 1
Default Re: Are odds the same for everyone?

Just so I understand your problem here, you say you flopped a four-flush 207 times and only made a flush five times?

Lets see:

You will be dealt two suited cards every 3.25 hands
You will flop two or more of your suit every 7.48 flops
So this happens once every 24.31 hands

To get your sample of 207 hands, you are telling me you played 5032 hands

And out of those 5032, always staying to the river with your four-flush, you made exactly 5 flushes?

Now, go back to your thinking and tell me where you went wrong.

I believe you played 207 hands and made 5 flushes, or
I'm willing to believe you played 207 suited hands and made 5 flushes. How many times can you expect to make a flush out of those 207 times? Sit and figure it out for yourself. Now, are your results really that far out of line?

Dogmeat [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
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