Re: AKs and Pushing on flops
You have to think about what the chances are the opponent will:
1-Call when you have them beat (good)
2-Fold when they have you beat (good)
3-Fold when you have them beat (bad)
4-Call when they have you beat (bad)
Increasing the bet size may change the probability of each of these. The problem I see with your bet is that a bet half the size accomplishes the same thing. What do you think happens if you increase your bet size from 1.5x pot to all in?
1-Call when you have them beat (good)
-less likely. Someone loose might call thinking to push you off it later, but in general bigger bets will make 2nd best hands fold more.
2-Fold when they have you beat (good)
-no change. No way for you to push someone off a better hand. AA, 2-pair or a set is about it, and as you found out no bet is big enough to push them off it. This was 0% for either sized bet.
3-Fold when you have them beat (bad)
-more likely. flip side of #1
4-Call when they have you beat (bad)
-no change. This is 100% for either sized bet.
So what did your increased bet size accomplish? You lose more chips to a better hand AND you cause 2nd best hands to fold more often.
Bad play [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
Pokerscott
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