Thread: Dead cards
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Old 10-30-2003, 12:34 PM
Copernicus Copernicus is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2003
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Default Re: Dead cards

NoTalent, while it is true on a "blind" basis that all unseen cards should be counted, you can often do better than those random probabilities by considering the action to that point. It is particularly valuable when looking at your own outs, and you may want to adjust those random probabilities for an unusual number of callers, folders and or raisers.

Eg with several cold callers to a raise catching a high card may be more difficult than random, a small card a little easier. Conversely if everyone folds to a Button or SB that is likely to steal and there is a raise, you still dont want to assume he is only a random hand since earlier high cards might well have led to a caller or two. You also are likely to have a somewhat better than random draw to high cards and worse than random draw to low cards (to complete a straight, eg).
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