Re: TPTK+nut flush draw
Well, it looks like you are drawing to only 7 outs twice (plus runner runner AT), or else he has redraws against your 9 outs. This gives you about 30-32% chance of winning. However, you are getting 3900:2000 odds on the rest of your money. It is marginally -EV against a made flush or trips, and most big stacks would do this with a few additional hands, so I would figure you need to play it. He might fold a few hands you are ahead of if you push, so I call. (The chance he will check a hand you are ahead of on the turn is miniscule, so this doesn't help you.)
If, however, 1) he will make this many raise with lots of hands and feel pot committed (esp. with a hand like Kd5s), I would push here to get maximum value
or
2) he has a flush or set 80% of the time, or almost this much and you are playing a lot better than these 2 players, I fold.
It doesn't look like you can make a big mistake here unless BB has put you on a bluff and thinks you will fold it to a min. raise,
Craig
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