[BruceZ]

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Nitpicking: You left out a constant in your 95% confidence interval arithmetic. Should be:

95% CI = 8.5 +/- 1.96*(18.6/sqrt(70))

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Thanks, I fixed it.


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I got the std. dev. numbers from the sessions tab in PT. It seems like everyone in the small stakes forum thinks 14-15BB/100 is a good normal standard deviation, though I suppose if I'm running well and/or at a higher average BB/100 rate it will be higher.

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That would be excellent. 17 times the win rate in bb/100 is good.


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Wondering: are you saying here that 14-15 BB/100 is excellent and that anything <17xWR is good? Or is that greater than?

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I fixed that too. 17-18 bb should correspond to a win rate of 3 bb/100, so the SD should be ~6 times the win rate.