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Old 03-10-2003, 01:34 PM
BruceZ BruceZ is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 1,636
Default Re: raising with TT,JJ, QQ..

It is almost 50/50 of NO overcard AND no set with QQ, or equivalently it is almost 50/50 of an overcard OR a set. I only know that because I computed this first. I don't think that's very useful since overcards hurt your hand while a set helps it.

probability of no overcard and no set with QQ =
(40/50)(39/49)(38/48) = 50.4%

The 41.4% counts only the times you get overcards but also includes the times you also flop a set in addition to overcards. This is what was asked for, but it isn't completely useful either though it's closer. The 37.8% is the times we get overcards with no set which I think is most useful.

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