Re: EV question
If you phone up your ex girlfriend at 8am you have a 20% chance of her being awake and then a 50% of her wanting to [censored] you if she's awake; meaing you get laid 10% of the time or 1 in 10 times. You're EV (expected value) is 1 in 10.
Yet if at 8am you go get a hooker you have a 90% of finding one and 100% chance of getting laid when you find one, you have a higher expeected value this time.
Of course, then you have to wieght/judge/value the sex with the ex compared to hooker. Say you have a 10% of [censored] your ex but a 20% of [censored] a hooker if the sex with your ex is more than twice as good you [censored] your ex.
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