Re: Easy call, or foolish call?
Jason, I understand the chip EV part of your response, but in terms of $EV, how do you analyze this.
Assuming a Party SnG, 60% of the prize money has already been distributed. So the remaining three players will split the otehr 40%: 30-10-0
You're in the BB for a little more than 1/3 of your stack, getting about 2.7 to 1 on your call. You're behind any A and any pair, and you're crushed by any K (save one). I think you'd need at least 3 to 1 to consider calling here.
If you fold, I think you are probably least a 3 to 2 favorite to finish 2nd or higher. Even you win and knock out short stack, you'll still finish 2nd almost 2 out of 3 times, unless you think you're a far superior player to the big stack. I don't think the potential reward justifies the obvious risk.
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