Re: pocket aces river a set on a 4-straight board
I tried running the numbers just to get an estimate of where you stand. No guarantees of correctness, but this is what I've got:
If it were purely random, there would be a 28% chance of one of your opponents holding a jack at this point. Assuming only one of them will call your bet and that you'll call a single raise if check-raised I think your additional value calculates out to about 16 cents for a dollar bet. If they both will call your bet, then you're getting more like 80 cents for it. Bet it for value.
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