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Old 12-13-2003, 03:21 PM
Brian Brian is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2003
Posts: 1,440
Default Re: Still have a lot to learn : QTs x 2

Hi Gonores,

[ QUOTE ]
Hand 2

You have the odds to call and pray for the board to pair here.

[/ QUOTE ]

Assuming that the check-raiser just calls the 3 bet, and doesn't cap it himself, Guy is getting 17:2, or 8.5:1 on his call. However, he is drawing to a *split* pot, so his odds are actually cut in half, so he's getting more 4:1 on his call to chase a 6-outer, which needs 7:1. This alone means that the call is not worthwhile assuming he is against a better Queen. Add in the fact that 99 or 44 are likely holdings for his opponents, and he doesn't have very many outs to a split pot at all.

I am not saying he should fold his hand, although I probably would, but in order to continue, he must think he has the best hand.

-Brian
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