Re: On a 30,000 hand downswing.....
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I'm looking forward to Team Donkey's calculation. It is the only way to answer your question.
But in the mean time, your graph shows that you are down apx 0.02 bb/100. That is a very shallow (although long) downswing. So, I expect that the probability of this happening by chance, if you are a truely 4bb/100 player, is not terribly unlikely.
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I actually went back into pokertracker and I was running just over 13,000 hands at NL$100 6max at (-5.28)bb per 100 hands and then since I dropped down about 18,000 hands at NL$50 6-max at around breakeven.
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