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Old 12-07-2005, 10:52 AM
oreogod oreogod is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
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Default Re: 30 minutes video of me playing SH/HU 25/50-75/150

Okay, I was pretty sure I 3bet the QJs hand, and waffle schooled my ass with some math to point me in a more definite direction. Which is still to 3bet.

Anyway, say we give the 50/30 a range of top 20 percent of holdem hands. QJ has about 44 percent equity. Also, note that the BB is a tight player (Ive played with him a good amount, but I think your stats show this to).

Anyway, this math is basically for an all in situation, but in general, u risk 3 bets to win the 4.5 in the pot already (3 from the pfr, 1 from bb, .5 from sb)...you would need to win 40 percent of the time to break even on your 3bet. Against top 20 u have 45 percent equity. More if hes raising lighter without concern for position.

While this math descibes if u were all in, you now add into the fact that u have positional advantage for the whole hand. Also the fact that if u hit a Q or J, u are getting paid off for it.

(this is why I sometimes much prefer QJs as a stealing hand then Ax or Kx)
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