[jaxUp]

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the range will narrow as we go through the steps

1)Consider what hands would defend preflop?

not helpful as many players defend any 2.

2) consider what hands play the flop this way

a K probably would, a FD would, an A likely would, and 8 would

3)consider (from 2) which hands play the turn this way

a K probably wouldn't, but might a small percentage of the time
An Ace probably would, an 8 probably would, a flush draw would

based on experience, and how he played the hand, at the river I think he has:

an A 30% of the time
a K 5% of the time
an 8 40% of the time
A flush 25% of the time

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What you're saying is...if he calls with an Ace 100% and calls with an 8 a non zero amount of time - you bet. Right?

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I'm not entirely sure...I can't concentrate right now (4-tabling), so I am wanting somebody (preferably OP) to run the math

edit: also, I want to specify that included with 8 is another mid-low pp. I am also thinking the probability of an 8 and an A should probably be switched.