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Old 11-12-2005, 01:14 PM
Walker Walker is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 114
Default Re: live hand--angling?

Here's what I'm thinking:

Villian calls here with TT,QQ,KK about 33% of the time
Villian bets ATs,AQ,AK 75% of the time and bluffs KK,QQ,TT 5% of the time when I check to him.

Assume he never bluff raises me.

EV(betting)=.33(18/46)(+1) + (28/46)(-1)= -.48
EV(check/call)=.05(18/46)(+1) + .75 (28/46)(-1)= -.437
Is this right?

These are generous numbers. Many of these guys never call with TT-KK here and they check a big Ace behind the majority of the time.
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