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Old 11-04-2005, 01:45 PM
theblitz theblitz is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 51
Default Re: Chance of the board pairing

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He we go.

Very simple calculation:

Calculate the chance of board NOT pairing:
First card is irrelevant. Say A.
Second card must not be an A so can only be 16 out of the 19 left.
Third card is 12/18.
Fourth card is 8/17.
Fifth is 4/16.

Give 16/19 * 12/18 *8/17 * 4/16 = 0.066

So chance of pairing = 1-0.066 = 0.954 or 95.4%.

Next I need to calculate what the chances are of winning if you have a PP.

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You can actually use standard tools like Pokenum or Pokerstove for this game, just mark all cards 9 and lower as dead.

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[img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]
Didn't think of that.
Though it is a lot of typing.
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