View Single Post
  #18  
Old 11-02-2005, 09:45 AM
Schneids Schneids is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Eagan, MN
Posts: 1,084
Default Re: Confidence Boosting -- 10/20 Hand #4 (of 4)

[ QUOTE ]
For those that think this is an easy turn check, why?
I think it's an easy bet considering how low the c/r % is on this turn. We might be behind to a higher jack or big pair, but that's about it. Can't give the BB credit for a set with his isolation c/r on the flop, and also hard to figure him for a queen unless it's QJ. We have no worries about that whole "can't bet the turn because calling a c/r sucks when we have outs" philosophy here. The chances of getting c/red are low and the chances that we may be ahead of A7s, TT, 99, 88 aren't low. We also don't want to give out free cards when that's the case.

Fire away.

[/ QUOTE ]

I argued this with Josh a lot last night already but when we're ahead here, opponent either has 3 outs (jack lower kicker...slim), a lower PP (2 outs), or mid pair + kicker (5 outs) and I guess it depends on what your estimation is that J9 is good on the turn, but giving a free card doesn't hurt you a ton if your estimation that your hand is good isn't that high.
Reply With Quote