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Old 10-21-2003, 08:34 PM
coachkf coachkf is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 8
Default Drawing to a flush vs 3 of a kind on the opponents porch...

I see this all the time in low limit 7 stud, and believe it to be a huge mistake.

Player #1 has 4 to a flush, Player #2 has three of a kind on his porch.

Assuming none of the players cards are "dead" and were on 6th street. Lets count the outs. Player #1 has 9 outs to make his flush. Player #2 on the other hand has a total of 10 outs. One will give him quads, 9 will give him a full house, and both of these hands beat a flush.

So fold those flush and outside straight draws (8 outs) when you see 3 of a kind on your neighbor's porch.

1. He may have boat or 4 of a kind already
2. He has you beaten in sight
3. He has a better chance of improving HIS hand than you do of making yours.

What do you guys think?

Coach
www.poker-strategy.org
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