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Old 10-17-2003, 06:23 PM
AleoMagus AleoMagus is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Victoria BC
Posts: 252
Default Re: I\'ve Asked Before, But Now I\'m Begging... (NLHE)

In this situation, what could he have? he's not gonna call the raise preflop without decent cards, so it is unlikely he has a set or two pairs. He's also not gonna call those bets with 89 hoping for the gutshot. He might have 89s trying for spades, but again - is he gonna call ten bucks preflop with that?.
On the river, I'd consider a set of kings or pair of aces a possibility. He might slowplay kings or aces before the flop hoping for a raiser. Then he lets you bet it all the way. Not how I'd do it, but some guys play like that. It just seems like too much money to run a bluff with, especially with you betting strong the whole way, and so few scary cards on the board. There is no flush, an unlikely straight, and a lot of very unlikely sets and two-pairs.
Unless he's a bad player and doesn't realize how obvious a bluff would be here, he could only have AA, KK, or (doubtfully) 77 or 89s. These all have you beat.
I'd fold
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