Re: AA in PLHE
I'd raise to 900, and expect him to either fold, or be holding KK or AA.
An argument can be made here for raising to about 700, however, given your stack size. If you make it 700, he's got to call 400. He can win the 1100+ that's there now, plus up to 1200 more from you postflop, or a bit less than 6:1. Since he's about 7.5:1 against flopping a set, it would be incorrect for him to make this call if he knew your cards.
Of course, if he calls 700, would he call 900 anyway, and thereby be making an even bigger mistake?
There is no perfect answer. In reality, you want to raise as much as he will call, as long as it's more than 600. At 600, he's just about getting even odds assuming he wins your entire stack whenever he flops a set.
On the other hand, if you know he's likely to bet the flop if you check to him, then you could just call here and try to win more that way. Of course, you're increasing your risk of a bad beat dramatically by doing this.
Unless I knew this opponent was highly likely to bet any flop checked to him, I would probably raise now.
Later, Greg Raymer (FossilMan)
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