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Old 10-07-2003, 04:15 PM
BruceZ BruceZ is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 1,636
Default Re: Very simple expectation problem

$1.78 is what he should pay if he gets his money back when he wins, in addition to the money he wins.

EV = 8/52 * 5 + 8/52 * 3 - 36/52 * x = 0

x = 1.78

If he doesn't get his money back, then he should only pay $1.23.

EV = 8/52 *(5-x) + 8/52 * (3-x) - 36/52 * x = 0

x = 1.23
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