Re: Very simple expectation problem
$1.78 is what he should pay if he gets his money back when he wins, in addition to the money he wins.
EV = 8/52 * 5 + 8/52 * 3 - 36/52 * x = 0
x = 1.78
If he doesn't get his money back, then he should only pay $1.23.
EV = 8/52 *(5-x) + 8/52 * (3-x) - 36/52 * x = 0
x = 1.23
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