Re: Bout as sexy as the hot tub pic (Bay 101 40-80)
I think I've played against her, not a whole lot, but from what I remember she was somewhat tight/aggressive, and better than the average 40/80 donkey there.
Anyway, I think you make more in this river situation by just betting out.
The value of your river plan over simply betting out comes from:
1. She calls your checkraise with a worse hand (IMO this does not happen very often)
2. Inducing her to bluff a hand she would have folded (Your turn chkraise is scary on that board, so I doubt she will bluff often)
3. Pwnage factor (maybe she goes on tilt, I dunno)
I think those things happen a lot less often than the times she just pays off a river bet with a loser; something like a pocket pair with a heart i.e 99/88, or an overpair with no heart, hands that she may be happy to take a free showdown with.
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