Re: Results
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Well, I thought about it, and I ended up calling. I figured that the other guy wouldnt believe that I was as strong as I was, and could get me to lay down a lesser hand than top set (which he might well have managed).
He showed A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] and MHIG.
I also figured that he didnt get appropriate pot+implied odds to hit his flush (if thats, indeed what he had). Call 50 to win 100 pot and 100 river bet = 4:1. But he is less than that to make his hand, because I have a set so he only has 7 clubs that give him a winner which is 37:7 or a little over 5:1.
Is that a valid thought process to have ? "He is still making a mistake, even though I am paying him off ?".
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Your thought process seems solid. Villain probably sees you as decent, so can't expect you to always payoff big when he hits his draw. If he just has a flush draw and calls the turn, he needs to know you will call $100 on the river 100% of the time to make the call breakeven. However, he also might realize that he can push you off of one pair on the river most times when he misses the draw, so calling with less than sufficient implied odds isn't a terrible move by villain. If he's bluffing with the correct frequency, then he gets you to also pay him off when he hits on the river enough times to make "chasing" the draw correct for him. Tough hand and tough call against a thinking opponent. But I think you made the correct play.
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