Re: Probability Of Making A Hand By The River
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The 4x rule works great for the most common draws in Hold Em, which is 5, 6, 8, or 9 outs. It gets more and more inaccurate the more outs you try to figure out. 15 outs is really stretching the rule already since the probability of hitting 15 outs is 54% or so, while using the 4x rule you would get 60%.
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true, but often if the odds are there to chase a 60% draw, they'll be there for a 54% draw. so effectively, the "rule" will still work even if the probability estimate is off by as much as 6%
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