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Old 08-13-2005, 01:31 AM
Luzion Luzion is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 2
Default Re: Probability Of Making A Hand By The River

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Thanks, you think like I do at a poker table. eg. Cloose enough. I would like to do some experimenting with it for some uncommon draws though, and most of them are in percents. Can this work in percents?

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Im not exactly sure what you mean by "Can this work in percents?"

The 4x rule works great for the most common draws in Hold Em, which is 5, 6, 8, or 9 outs. It gets more and more inaccurate the more outs you try to figure out. 15 outs is really stretching the rule already since the probability of hitting 15 outs is 54% or so, while using the 4x rule you would get 60%.

If you are playing a game like Omaha Hi where its necessary to calculate your pot equity with as many as 20 outs, its best to learn how to do it by hand. I explained how to do this by finding the "complement" in my last post above this one.
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